Sunday, September 20, 2009

Aikido 2019

This weekend I read an article by Jamais Cascio on futurist thinking. I decided to answer the broad question, "What will my life be like in 2019?", I broke it down to a sub-question, "What will my Aikido practice be like in 2019?"
In the Scanning the World section, the Aikido world of 2019 will a lot fewer of O'Sensei's original students alive. The third generation of sensei will be involved in more social media, and the presence of much more high-quality, high-def instructional video and audio are available through various video sharing sites. Some dojos will be equiped with complete audio and video capturing technology that allows entire classes to be modeled from every student's perspectives, off-mat analysis and instruction will increase the involvement of Aikido students.
In the Mapping the Possibilities section:
  • The future is what I expect I am teaching Aikido, attending seminars, and preparing to test for Sandan.

  • The future is better than I expect I am ranked Sandan in Aikido, teaching at a new dojo in Gunnison county, and attending seminars all over the world. Recently returned from a second Aikido trip to Japan.

  • The future is worse than I expect I am no longer practicing Aikido, cannot afford dues and have never tested for any higher rank.

  • The future is weirder than I expect I practice a different form of martial art, not directly related to Aikido.

  • In the Asking the Next Question, I broke down the analysis of four different scenarios by asking what assumpstions I made for each scenario in the context of my personal choices. In the likely scenario, I continue with my current patterns and trends of my Aikido practice. In the better than expected future, my personal circumstances allow me to travel more and experience Aikido on the world stage. In the worse than expected future, I have given up on practice due to financial and physical reasons. Finally, for the weirder than expected future, I am no longer practicing Aikido but some other martial art, right now I can't conceive of elimating Aikido totally from my life but circumstances change.
    In Thinking it Through section, for all four of these futures, my choices matter. For the better and weird futures, external entities have a far greater influence and impact on my circumstances and happiness than I can directly influence. The likely and worse futures most likely causes occur from choices I am making now and will make in the near future.
    Aikido practice and life is more important to me now than any time in the past. My growth and depth in this martial art continues although I am only actively practicing in two of the four scenarios for 2019. In ten years, I will have practiced Aikido for 22 years if I keep with my current practice or increase the frequency of my Aikido practice. The challenges in the next few years will be to find time and opportunity to practice given my efforts on other fronts in my life. Aikido provides me so much and I see my roles in Aikido shifting in the next ten years to become more of a leader and teacher while keeping my own ego and perception of ability in check in order to learn and deepen my own budo.

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